Reality . . . two millionths of a percent.

So, the swine flu is going to kill you, right?

Let me put this into perspective. Right now there are about 160 reported deaths from the swine flu world wide. This is not the number infected, but the number killed. But what does this number really mean.

First, compare this 160 deaths world wide to the 36,000 people who die each year in the U.S. to the common flu. In other words we are more worried about a disease that is at least 225 time less likely to kill us then the common flu.

So how has this flu affected the world population of over 6 billion people? Well, run the math and you realize that only .000002% of the world population has died from this disease, as opposed to the .01% of the world population that has been killed by genocide in Sudan since 2003 (675,000).

So why is there the worry? By last numbers there is between 2600 and 2700 reported cases of this flu for which there is supposedly no natural immunity. The fear is that a single sneeze could effect hundreds of people which could lead to a pandemic.

It is time for brief lesson on disease. Most  diseases inhabit our body for at least a day before they exhibit symptoms. This is because the symptoms are usually the result of the disease attacking our body and our body using its resources to attack the disease. In fact, for many cases of the common cold, by the time you exhibit symptoms, the cold is already destroyed in your body and your body is just tired from the fight.

So, I get the swine flu and a day later I exhibit symptoms and am quarantined, etc. How many people did I interact with the day before? How many hands did I shake? How many times did I lick my finger and rub it against something?

How many people did those 2700 confirmed cases interact with before (and even after) the disease surfaced? I would estimate about 54,000 people (20 interactions per person). So why aren’t there 54,000 people infected. Why aren’t we all wiped out as our body has “no natural defenses”?

The reason is because this is a created or imagined disease. It is sort of like the monster you feared when you were younger because you believed he was in your closet. There was some minimal evidence of a monster (boards creaking, darkness), but the reality was that your mind created the monster and cause you to be afraid of him.

So we have this monster before us. There is some evidence before us as we look at the deaths and infections, but the reality is that we have allowed ourselves to be scared into a fear. The media has become our brain as they show pictures of people wiping the legs of a school desk (honestly, who will be licking the legs of a school desk?) and have traveled to Mexico to show the place this all started and have told us that buildings have been shut down for this virus.

This is the monster that we have allowed our brain to create a monster for us where, in reality, there is nothing (or almost nothing). Sure, we should be concerned about this, but worried? No way.

In fact, what this really reminds me of is the movie “Wag the Dog”. Anyone seen it? The premise is that a “war” is made up by the political administration so that people will be distracted from the real issues surrounding the administration. Our media, finding nothing to report on the administration (since the administration is doing nothing good, but the media can’t report that) needed something else to scare us with. Something to distract us from the real news. Their answer . . . Thank God for Swine Flu!

The reality is that AIDS and HIV continue to kill millions, genocide continues to be acceptable in Africa, abortions of black babies continues to exceed the number of live births of black babies, and we recently rewarded large companies dieing in a capitalist society by changing the rules for them. But no, the real news that we should all “obviously” be worried about is that a disease that pales in comparison to any other disaster we have been facing for years may be sitting at our door ready to pounce on us when we are not looking.

4 thoughts on “Reality . . . two millionths of a percent.”

  1. Thanks for the context bro.
    Excellent points.

    Micheal Medved was talking about this today with a science writer, and he had many of the exact same things to say: overblown, overhyped, and a tool to distract.

    One more bit of context was how this pandemic is constantly compared to the Spanish Flu outbreak of 1918-1919, when our health system and overall medical ability was less than modern Mexico's. And there have been 2 more major flu pandemics since that one which are never mentioned because there isn't anything to fear really from flu. It's a dead horse the fear-mongers insist on beating.

    He also mentioned that with the current administration, it may be a case of crying wolf. We'll start getting tired of the constant scares and then when something really truly bad does happen, we'll be jaded and not likely to give it the necessary importance.

    The thing that ought to prick our ears, with each new bugbear flu, is when it is compared to the Spanish Flu, it's the last ditch effort of a power-hungry and desperate controlling group to cause us to fear something not worth fearing any longer.

  2. Yes, excellent points. Talk about overreacting! I think your wag the dog analogy is apt. The media needs something to talk about as well. I was impressed that Fox at least labeled it as the H1N1 virus.

  3. Indeed good numbers.____It never fails to amaze me how low the "Professional Journalists" will go to whore themselves for ratings. I believe shows like Entertainment Tonight are better to watch, because at least they're honest about what they are presenting – JUNK.

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